A new study utilizing sophisticated artificial intelligence algorithms has predicted that the world will experience a 1.5°C increase in temperature compared to pre-industrial levels by the early 2030s.
The prediction is based on a neural network fed with a database of past temperature changes. The study shows that even if greenhouse gas emissions decline to reach net zero by 2076, there’s still a 50% chance of reaching 2°C of warming by 2054 and a 2 in 3 chance of reaching it between 2044 and 2065.
The 2°C increase is considered significant by scientists and will result in negative impacts on crops, sea level rises, and human health. The study suggests that zero-emission goals for carbon dioxide, methane, and other heat-trapping gases must be achieved by the middle of this century to avoid going over 2°C of warming.
The research has been published in PNAS.